Archive for the 'Economic Recovery' Category
Successful Developers Keep Investing In Chicago
February 20th, 2012 categories: Chicago Info/News, Chicago Neighborhoods, Chicago Real Estate News, Economic Recovery
Plenty of successful developers still believe in the long-term strength of Chicago’s housing market.
And I don’t blame them. Despite the real estate slump — and despite the fact that the value of Chicago’s condominiums and single-family homes fell again last year — Chicago remains a strong housing market.
Just ask Antheus Capital. The Chicago Tribune recently ran a story on this developer’s efforts to purchase rental properties in Chicago’s Hyde Park and Kenwood neighborhoods.
According to the story, Antheus purchased a single apartment building in this area back in 2002. Since then, the developer has purchased 89 apartment buildings in Kenwood and Hyde Park. These buildings hold 4,500 units. This means that Antheus owns just under 20 percent of the rentals in Chicago’s Hyde Park neighborhood.
This is good news for the developer. Despite the Chicago housing market’s slowdown, Hyde Park remains a desirable city neighborhood. It’s located close to public transportation. It boasts walkable streets lined with restaurants, shops and entertainment options. And the prestigious University of Chicago anchors the neighborhood.
You could consider Hyde Park a microcosm of several top Chicago neighborhoods, places like Lincoln Park, Lincoln Square and Lakeview. These neighborhoods remain in demand by buyers and renters alike thanks to their thriving nightlife districts, eclectic mix of restaurants and local shopping options. In short, these neighborhoods are vibrant, fun places in which to live.
That also explains why I have high hopes for the long-term vitality of Chicago’s housing markets. Yes, even the top neighborhoods in the city have seen housing values fall since the residential crash. But these neighborhoods have so much going for them, it’s difficult not to picture them remaining as prime destinations for future home buyers.
Antheus Capital is wise to make such a large investment in Hyde Park. Good neighborhoods are treasures, and the neighborhoods of Chicago make our city one of the top metro areas in the country.
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Chicago Housing Prices Hit 2001 Levels
February 13th, 2012 categories: Chicago Info/News, Economic Recovery, FSBO's, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers
How far have Chicago home prices fallen? Far enough so that condominiums and single-family homes across the Chicago area are selling for prices last seen in spring of 2001.
That’s the news from a recent story in the Chicago Tribune.
The Tribune reported on the much-followed Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index, an index that in November showed housing prices in the Chicago area falling 3.4 percent from the previous month. Chicago housing prices were also down 5.9 percent from a year earlier, the Tribune reported.
Chicago’s drop in housing prices was steeper than those suffered by each of the nation’s largest 20 housing markets save for Atlanta, Seattle, Tampa and Las Vegas, according to the Tribune story.
The Tribune quoted a source from Zillow who said that the problem in the Chicago area is a fundamental one: The supply of homes available in the region far exceeds the demand for these residences.
Until this changes, housing prices will not rise.
High unemployment — though unemployment has been falling — is another issue that negatively impacts home sales. People simply won’t invest in homes if they fear that they might lose their jobs. And when people aren’t buying, the housing supply remains high, forcing prices down.
This is frustrating for home sellers, especially those who bought during the Chicago housing boom, when prices hit their heights. These sellers can expect to sell their residences for less than what they paid for them.
My advice to sellers is simple: They need to price their homes according to what the market says their residences are worth. Buyers today don’t care what sellers paid for their homes four years ago. They only care about what similar homes are selling for today.
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Even Noted Housing Critic Agrees: This Is The Time To Buy A Home
February 10th, 2012 categories: Chicago Info/News, Chicago News, Chicago Real Estate News, Economic Recovery, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Housing Market
Economist Christopher Thornberg has long been considered a pessimist when it comes to the housing industry. He was, after all, one of the few voices during the nation’s housing boom who insisted that a housing bubble was not only real but about to burst.
It’s news, then, when a critic such as Thornberg tells consumers that now is a good time to buy a house.
And that’s just what Thornberg did in a recent interview with the Chicago Tribune’s real estate columnist Mary Umberger.
The founder of an independent research firm in Los Angeles, Thornberg told Umberger that now is a good time to buy a house, as long as buyers understand that a house is what he called a consumption good, not an investment.
Here’s what Thornberg means: Consumers should buy condominiums and single-family homes for the benefits they bring, stability, shelter, a place to escape to at the end of the day. They should not look at housing as a way to make a quick buck. That’s what happened during the housing boom, and it’s what led to housing prices getting way too high way too quickly.
In today’s housing market — including in Chicago — housing prices have fallen to solid, affordable levels, Thornberg said. At the same time, mortgage interest rates are at record lows, making the act of borrowing mortgage money as affordable as it’s ever been. Add to this the fact that home sellers are ready to negotiate on final sales prices, and you have an environment that’s more than beneficial to home buyers.
I’ve said this many times in this blog, but I’ll repeat myself: This remains a great time to buy a home. If you’ve been hesitating, consider Thornberg’s advice. If a noted housing critic says that this is a good buyer’s market, who are we to argue?
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December Numbers Provide Strong Finish To Chicago Home Sales In 2011
January 25th, 2012 categories: Chicago Real Estate News, Economic Recovery, FSBO's, For Homeowners, For Sellers, Housing Market
Though 2011 wasn’t the strongest year for Chicago existing-home sales — they were actually down 7.2 percent from 2010 — December, at least, closed the year off strong.
According to the latest home sales numbers from the Illinois Association of REALTORS®, December, 2011, existing-home sales in Chicago hit 1,536, up 6.4 percent from the 1,444 homes sold in the same month one year earlier.
The news wasn’t as good when it came to the median sales prices of these homes. According to the association’s numbers, the median home sale price for Chicago stood at $156,000 in December of last year. That’s down 6.2 percent when compared to the same month in 2010. Back then, the median sales price of Chicago homes came in at $166,250.
Bob Floss, president of the Chicago Association of REALTORS®, was quoted in the press release accompanying the December numbers as saying that the December rally was a good sign for the future of Chicago housing sales. The numbers give hope that Chicago’s winter and spring home-selling seasons will be strong ones, he said.
Floss, though, expressed concerns about the median sales price of Chicago condominiums and single-family homes. This number shows no sign of rising, and, in fact, continues to fall. Floss pointed to the large number of distressed residential properties on the market: Foreclosures tend to drag down the median sales prices of homes near them.
Until the number of foreclosures falls, don’t expect the median sales price of Chicago residential properties to rise.
The association press release also quotes Loretta Alonzo, president of the Illinois Association of REALTORS®. She says that buyers in December simply found too many good housing deals to pass up.
That’s good news, of course, for sellers trying to move their properties. It’s not great news, though, for sellers trying to get top dollar for their homes. Buyers today simply expect to find bargains on the condos and single-family homes that they purchase.
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Expecting A Better Chicago Economy In 2012? Think Again
January 6th, 2012 categories: Chicago Info/News, Chicago Neighborhoods, Chicago News, Chicago Real Estate News, Economic Recovery, For Buyers, For Homeowners, For Sellers
Crain’s Chicago Business gave Chicago residents hoping for a better economic year in 2012 little reason for optimism. According to Crain’s, the Chicago economy will improve in 2012, but at a slower-than-optimal rate.
Crain’s quoted numbers from Moody’s Analytics saying that the Chicago-area economy should grow by about 1.6 percent in the first half of 2012 and by about 2 percent for the full year. These numbers sound positive until you consider that six months ago Moody’s predicted that the Chicago-area economy would grow by about 4 percent in 2012.
Crain’s points to the economic uncertainty caused by unstable financial markets and European debt worries. This, the story says, has made employers overly cautious when making new job hires.
Because of this, Moody’s is predicting that the unemployment rate in the Chicago area will jump to 11.4 percent in the first half of 2012. That’s up from 10.6 percent in the second half of 2011. Six months ago, Moody’s predicted that the Chicago-area unemployment rate would stand at 9.2 percent in the first half of 2012.
This is bad news, too, for the Chicago housing market. Buyers won’t be as willing to invest in a new home if they’re still worried about losing their jobs. And as Moody’s numbers show, Chicagoans have little reason to be optimistic about the safety of their jobs.
Just because a new year has started, it doesn’t mean that Chicago, and the rest of the nation, don’t still face serious challenges. Until unemployment finally falls, expect the Chicago housing market to struggle.
This latest news points out once again how important it is for home sellers to work with a skilled REALTOR® to set the right price for their condominiums or single-family homes. Buyers today are smart; they won’t overpay for a home. Those sellers who do set an unrealistic asking price will see their residence sit on the market for months, ignored by today’s savvy home buyers.
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