Crain’s quoted numbers from Moody’s Analytics saying that the Chicago-area economy should grow by about 1.6 percent in the first half of 2012 and by about 2 percent for the full year. These numbers sound positive until you consider that six months ago Moody’s predicted that the Chicago-area economy would grow by about 4 percent in 2012.

Crain’s points to the economic uncertainty caused by unstable financial markets and European debt worries. This, the story says, has made employers overly cautious when making new job hires.

Because of this, Moody’s is predicting that the unemployment rate in the Chicago area will jump to 11.4 percent in the first half of 2012. That’s up from 10.6 percent in the second half of 2011. Six months ago, Moody’s predicted that the Chicago-area unemployment rate would stand at 9.2 percent in the first half of 2012.

This is bad news, too, for the Chicago housing market. Buyers won’t be as willing to invest in a new home if they’re still worried about losing their jobs. And as Moody’s numbers show, Chicagoans have little reason to be optimistic about the safety of their jobs.

Just because a new year has started, it doesn’t mean that Chicago, and the rest of the nation, don’t still face serious challenges. Until unemployment finally falls, expect the Chicago housing market to struggle.

This latest news points out once again how important it is for home sellers to work with a skilled REALTOR® to set the right price for their condominiums or single-family homes. Buyers today are smart; they won’t overpay for a home. Those sellers who do set an unrealistic asking price will see their residence sit on the market for months, ignored by today’s savvy home buyers.

It’s little surprise, then, that many buyers — especially first-time buyers — are getting help from family members or friends to cover their down payment requirements.

A story by the Wall Street Journal reported that 27 percent of first-time buyers in 2010 received a financial gift from a friend or family member to use toward their down payments. That figure is up from 22 percent in 2009 and 23 percent in 2005, according to numbers from the National Association of REALTORS®.

The Wall Street Journal story quoted a mortgage adviser from Chicago who explained that a 10 percent down payment on a modest Chicago condominium or single-family home could come to $30,000 to $40,000. That’s a lot of money for first-time home buyers to scrape together.

Of course, there are options for buyers seeking lower down payments. Buyers with solid credit can qualify for FHA mortgage loans that come with down payment requirements of just 3.5 percent.

Those working with traditional mortgage loans, though, will often have to make a down payment of 10 percent to 20 percent of a home’s purchase price. Again, in big cities such as Chicago, that’s hardly a small sum of money.

The Wall Street Journal story provided some good advice for buyers who are relying partly on gifts to finance their down payment. Freddie Mac requires buyers to provide at closing funds equal to at least 5 percent of the home’s purchase price if the loan-to-value ratio is greater than 80 percent and a relative or friend provides a gift to help with the cost of the down payment.

The Journal story also says that buyers must properly document their down payment gifts. For instance, if a buyer’s bank account suddenly jumps from $10,000 to $15,000 thanks to a gift from a family member, the loan officer handling the loan will want to see a gift letter. This letter should provide the giver’s name, address and telephone number. The Journal also reported that the letter should spell out the relationship between the buyer and the person providing the gift.

The timing of all this can be difficult. Often, sellers have to take a chance: Do they buy their dream home today even though they’re still trying to sell their Chicago condo? Or do they wait to sell their existing home before buying a new place to live? Both options come with challenges: Homeowners who buy a home before they sell their current residence might end up having to make two mortgage payments a month as they struggle to sell their existing homes, especially in today’s challenging Chicago housing market.

And those buyers who go the other route might find themselves without a place to live once they’ve closed on the sale of their existing home.

The Chicago Tribune, though, recently outlined the growing popularity of an alternative, the contingency sale.

In a contingency offer, homebuyers get a set period of time — the Tribune says it’s usually from 30 to 60 days — to sell their homes before the deal on their new home closes. If buyers don’t sell their properties during this time period, the deal evaporates.

During the contingency period, if another buyer makes a better offer on the new home, the owners of that residence can accept it. In most cases, the first buyers have a short period of time — often one or two days — to remove the contingency on their offer and purchase the home outright. If buyers don’t take this opportunity, the new buyers are free to purchase the home.

Contingency offers come with risks for both sides. Buyers, of course, might lose the home they want because a better offer comes in. Sellers might see their purchase offer evaporate if their buyers find that they can’t sell their existing residences. And when a home has a contingency offer on it, it generally attracts fewer potential buyers.

In brisk real estate markets, most sellers won’t accept contingency offers. In Chicago during the real estate boom, sellers rarely took on such offers. Today, though, sellers are more willing to consider this alternative as single-family homes and condominiums sit on the market for months.

Buyers and sellers, though, need to discuss the pros and cons of contingency offers with their real estate agents before entering into one of these agreements.

According to a recent story in the Wall Street Journal, interest rates in the United States on 30-year fixed-rate mortgage loans averaged 3.99 percent for the week that ended on Dec. 8. That’s down just a bit from the 4 percent average interest rate of one week earlier and down significantly from the rate of 4.61 percent a year earlier.

Interest rates on 15-year fixed-rate mortgage loans were even more impressive, according to data from Freddie Mac. This rate stood at 3.27 percent for the week that came to a close on Dec. 8. That’s down from 3.3 percent from a week earlier and 3.96 percent from a year ago.

The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage interest rate is also just a tick above its all-time low of 3.27 percent, which it hit in October.

This is, of course, great news for consumers interested in purchasing a Chicago condominium or single-family home. Low interest rates mean that it is less expensive for buyers to borrow money. Buyers today, then, can save hundreds of dollars a month on their mortgage loan payments compared to the days when interest rates of 6 percent or 7 percent were considered solid.

On the downside, the process of applying for a mortgage loan isn’t easy today. Buyers will need to send their mortgage lenders paperwork proving that they make enough money each month to afford their new mortgage payments. They’ll also have to produce documents showing lenders how much they pay each month in debt.

Borrowers will also have to submit to a credit check. Lenders today reserve their lowest mortgage interest rates for those borrowers who have FICO credit scores of 740 or higher.

But for those buyers willing to submit their paperwork, and who have strong credit scores, buying a single-family home or condo today is more affordable than it’s been in a long time.

First, the prices: According to the latest findings from the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller home price index, home prices in the Chicago area dropped 0.8 percent in September when compared to August. They were also down 5 percent when compared to September of 2010.

Prices in the Chicago area today are at levels the area last saw in the spring of 2002, according to the Tribune story.

The “better” news? The Tribune also reported on the latest numbers from CoreLogic that showed that 24.9 percent of all homeowners with a mortgage in the Chicago area owed more on their loans than what their residences were worth at the end of September.

That number isn’t great. But it is better than the 25.2 percent of homeowners who were underwater on their mortgage loans at the end of the second quarter of this year.

Still, even with that slight improvement, 383,625 residences in the Chicago area were underwater on their mortgage loans at the end of September. Obviously, that number is far too high, especially considering nationally that only 22.1 percent of all residential properties with mortgage loans were underwater at the end of the same month, according to CoreLogic.

Both sets of numbers show that the housing market in Chicago, as in the rest of the nation, has a long way to go before it can be considered healthy again. The good news is for buyers: Home prices in the City, even in traditionally attractive neighborhoods such as Lakeview, Lincoln Park and Lincoln Square, remain affordable. Buyers today can find great bargains on good properties in the best locations.

The Chicago singer and Oscar-winning actress has a contract pending on a 12,000-square-foot home in the Chicago suburb of Burr Ridge, according to the Chicago Tribune. The home is listed at $2.795 million.

It’s not certain yet just what Hudson will pay for the house. But Hudson’s purchase, even if it’s a full-price offer, provides a quick lesson on the state of the housing market in the Chicago area today. And for Chicago home sellers, the message is clear: Price reductions are still the order of the day for many city condominiums and single-family homes.

If Hudson pays $2.795 million for the home, she will nab it for a price that is more than 33 percent lower than the residence’s original listing price, according to the Chicago Tribune story. That original list price stood at $4.2 million before falling to the current price that attracted Hudson’s offer.

This is happening on a smaller scale to home listings across the Chicago area. Sellers still are frequently dropping their asking prices as their only way to attract buyers. There’s a reason for this: Home buyers today are savvy. They know that the housing market, both in Chicago and across the country, is down. They know, too, that many sellers are eager to move their condominiums and single-family homes, and are willing to drop their asking prices to do it.

If you’re trying to sell today, it’s important that you work with a REALTOR(R) who knows your market. This professional can help you set the right price for your listing, and can boost your odds of moving your residence in the shortest amount of time possible.

It’s easy these days to get down on the U.S. economy. The recovery from the Great Recession hasn’t been strong enough to please anyone. The national unemployment rate is still too high. Housing values are stagnant. Home sales are down.

But, no less a financial guru than Sam Zell says that the U.S. economy is now on the right track. And that certainly qualifies as good news.

The Bloomberg news service covered Zell’s recent speech at a real estate conference in Chicago. According to the story, Zell told audience members that the U.S. economy will continue to improve and that high-quality real estate remains a wise investment.

I couldn’t agree with Zell more, especially when it comes to his thoughts on the value of real estate. I’ve argued during even the worst days of Chicago’s real estate slump that city housing remains a top investment. Yes, the value of Chicago condominiums and single-family homes is down now. But that just makes this an even better time to purchase local real estate.

Housing in Chicago’s top neighborhoods, places like Lincoln Square, Lincoln Park, Lakeview, Bucktown and Ravenswood, remains a solid investment. It’s true that no one can predict how home values will react over the years. But historically, home values have risen over time. The key is for owners to hold onto their homes for a long enough period of time – usually five years or more does the trick.

Buying a house was never meant to be a get-rich-quick investment. Remember, when you buy a condominium or single-family home, you get the benefits of living in that home. You also get tax advantages that you don’t get when you rent. You can’t say that about any other investment you can make.

During the days of the U.S. housing boom, buyers in Chicago were able to purchase condos or single-family homes in hot neighborhoods, fix them up and sell them for sometimes double what they initially paid, all in a few months’ time. That isn’t happening today.

But that doesn’t mean that owning a home is a bad financial investment. Though nothing is guaranteed, those homeowners who are patient will usually find that their homes are good investments.

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According to the most recent sales statistics from the Illinois Association of REALTORS®, the sale of single-family homes and condominiums in Chicago fell 19.5 percent in July from the same month one year earlier. In July, 1,589 homes were sold. That’s down from 1,975 homes sold in the same month in 2009.

Now, that number seems awfully bad. But it isn’t as bad when you consider that condominium and single-family home sales fell 27 percent across the nation in July.

Chicago home sales also look stronger if you consider year-to-date sales. Thanks in no small part to the federal first-time and move-up buyer tax credits, both of which expired on midnight on April 30, Chicago’s year-to-date home sales are ahead of what we saw last year.

According to the numbers from the Illinois Association of REALTORS®, Chicago’s housing sales from January through July were up 25 percent from the same period in 2009. So far this year, Chicago has seen 12,397 home sales. That’s far ahead of the 9,915 home sales the city saw from January through July of 2009.

If you’re still looking for bad news from the REALTORS® association, you can always study its median sales price numbers. The median price is an important one; it’s the figure at which half of homes sold for higher prices and half for lower.

According to the association, the city of Chicago’s median home price in July stood at $196,000. That’s down 19.8 percent from the $245,000 at which the median stood in the same month one year earlier. The year-to-date median sales price of $215,000 is down 6 percent. The median price was $229,000 for the period of January through July of 2009.

The point of all this isn’t to confuse home buyers or sellers. It’s to point out one fact: The Chicago housing market is a mixed bag of positive and negative news today. In that respect, it’s little different from the majority of housing markets across the country.

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But all of these factors, which make selling a condominium or single-family home today so challenging, make this a great time to buy a home in Chicago.

The Illinois Association of REALTORS® reported that the median sales price of Chicago homes stood at $230,000 in the second quarter of this year. That’s an extremely affordable price for Chicago. And by taking out an FHA loan, buyers here only have to come up with a down payment of 3.5 percent of a home’s purchase price.

At the same time, inventory levels are high. Buyers have a lot from which to choose when it comes to buying condominiums or single-family homes in some of the city’s top neighborhoods, like Lincoln Park, Ravenswood, Lakeview, Lincoln Square and Streeterville.

Then there’s the news regarding mortgage interest rates. According to the latest numbers from Freddie Mac, the average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage loan stood at an amazing 4.42 percent for the week ended Aug. 19. The rate for the average 15-year fixed-rate loan hit 3.90 percent. Both rates were down from the previous week, and down from the same period one year earlier. This means that buyers today can get more home for their dollars.

Even the high number of foreclosures in Chicago and the rest of the country can mean good news for buyers. When banks and other lending institutions have to re-sell their foreclosures, they usually do so at a greatly reduced price. Again, this gives buyers the opportunity to purchase homes for fewer dollars. Some buyers might purchase a foreclosure to be able to get into a neighborhood that they otherwise could not have afforded.

No one’s arguing that this is a difficult time in which to sell a home. But for first-time buyers and any others who don’t have to first sell a residence, this is a great time to buy.

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And, increasingly, they want green homes.

This search for environmentally friendly homes is finally getting a bit easier. CLTV’s Web site recently ran a story on the changes being made by Chicago’s MRED, a local multiple listing service of homes for sale.

Late last year, the MRED listing service gave REALTORS® the ability to add nearly two dozen green or energy efficient features with their property listings. According to the CLTV story, these features can include anything from drought-resistant landscaping to low-flow plumbing fixtures to bamboo flooring.

This is good news for Chicago buyers who are looking for green features. They can now find these environmentally friendly amenities listed prominently on many of the home listings they view online.

This move is something that officials from the National Association of REALORS® are happy to see. The CLTV story says that they’d like to see all the nation’s multiple listing services do this. Currently, according to one association official quoted in the story, from 30 to 40 of the services allow their REALTORS® to enter green and energy efficiency data in their home listings. That’s not a lot of services when you consider how many dot the country.

I don’t think it will be much longer, though, before we see an increase in green information on home listings. The reason is a simple one: It’s something more buyers are looking for.

I’m not naïve enough to believe that environmentally friendly features will trump price, location and construction quality. But a growing number of my clients are interested in living in homes that are environmentally friendly. If they’re looking at two houses that are mostly equal, these clients will go with the home that boasts the greener features.

Here’s some advice to the sellers out there: If your home does have some nice green features, advertise them prominently. In today’s tough residential real estate market, sellers need every advantage that they can get. Green features are just one more tool they can use to help move their homes.

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